Uncertainty & Value of Information

Terms for describing and quantifying uncertainty in economic evaluations and for valuing further research.

  • Topic: Uncertainty & Value of Information
  • 37 terms
  • Editor reviewed

4 terms

Methodological UncertaintyMethods Uncertainty, Analytic Uncertainty

Uncertainty arising from the choice of analytical methods or structural assumptions, such as discount rate, rather than the numerical values used within a fixed method.

Monte Carlo ErrorMCSE, Simulation Sampling Error

Monte Carlo error is the random numerical difference between a finite-simulation estimate and the target quantity it would approach with sufficiently many valid draws under the specified model.

Monte Carlo SimulationMCS, Second-Order Simulation

Monte Carlo simulation uses repeated random sampling to show how uncertainty in model inputs produces uncertainty in model outputs.

Multi-Way Sensitivity AnalysisMultiway SA, Simultaneous Parameter Variation, Multi-Way Sensitivity

An analysis systematically varying two or more input parameters together across a defined range of combinations, examining their combined effect on results.