Weighted mixed-comparator outcome

Calculates expected comparator outcome as the treatment-share-weighted mean outcome of the current-care options.

Signature

E_mix = sum_(j=1)^J (w_j * E_j)
Output
E_mixTreatment-share-weighted expected outcome of the mixed comparatorthe common outcome measure
  • w_j Proportion of the comparator population receiving current-care option j (proportion)
  • E_j Expected outcome of current-care option j (the common outcome measure)
  • J Number of mutually exclusive current-care options represented in the mixed comparator (count)

Function

Mixed-comparator construction function

Maps the treatment shares and expected results of current-care options to a weighted mixed comparator.

Implementations

  • Excel

    Calculate weighted comparator outcome

    Excel multiplies each option outcome by its treatment share and adds the products.

    =SUMPRODUCT(TreatmentShares,OptionOutcomes)

Assumptions

  • Valid treatment shares for outcome weighting

    Treatment shares are non-negative and sum to 1 across the mutually exclusive comparator options.

  • Common outcome measure for mixed comparator

    Every comparator option uses the same outcome definition unit and timing convention.

  • Representative current practice for outcome weighting

    Treatment shares reflect the expected comparator mix for the relevant population setting and period.

Worked examples

  • Weighted comparator outcome

    Current care consists of Option A for 70% of patients with 4.20 QALYs and Option B for 30% with 4.60 QALYs. Mixed-comparator outcome is 4.32 QALYs.

    E_mix = (0.70*4.20) + (0.30*4.60) = 4.32

Common errors

  • Mixing incompatible outcome measures

    Options measured with different outcome definitions instruments or time horizons cannot be combined into a meaningful weighted comparator outcome.

Sources

  • NICE manual for mixed-comparator outcome

    NICE. Health technology evaluations: the manual. Section 4.6 Economic evaluation.

    View source

Canonical Identity

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