QALY gain and cost per QALY from avoiding a second condition under a chosen combination rule

A person who avoids condition B stays at the utility of condition A alone instead of the combined utility, so the QALY gain per case avoided is the difference times the years B would have lasted, and the cost per QALY gained divides the cost per case avoided by that gain. The combined utility comes from HE-FM-DISU-002 under the rule chosen.

Signature

G = (U_A - U_AB) * dur; CPQ = C_case / G
Inputs
InputsDefinitionUnit
U_AUtility of people with condition A aloneutility
U_ABCombined utility from the additive, multiplicative or minimum rule (HE-FM-DISU-002)utility
durDuration of condition B had it occurredyears
C_caseIncremental cost of the intervention per case of B preventedpounds
Output
GUndiscounted QALYs gained by one person who avoids condition BQALYs
CPQCost per case avoided divided by the QALY gain per casepounds per QALY

Function

Utility decrements, their QALY losses and the rules for combining them on a stated baseline

Expresses a harm such as an adverse event, a second chronic condition or an unpleasant treatment as a fall in utility from a stated baseline, turns it into lost QALYs over the harm's duration, and estimates the utility of people with two conditions from single-condition data by the additive, multiplicative or minimum rule of NICE DSU TSD 12. QALYs from periods of constant utility are HE-FM-QALY-001 and the expected QALY loss from adverse events HE-FM-AER-006. Notation follows the Disutility article.

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Implementations

  • Excel

    QALY gain and cost per QALY from named cells

    With OneCondUtil, BothUtil, AvoidYears and CaseCost named, the formulas return the QALY gain per case avoided and the cost per QALY, held in QALYGain and CostPerQALY.

    =(OneCondUtil-BothUtil)*AvoidYears; =CaseCost/QALYGain

Assumptions

  • Avoided condition would have started at once and lasted the full period

    Each avoided case of B would otherwise have started at the outset and lasted dur years, nobody dies and gains are undiscounted, as in the article's example.

Worked examples

  • Gain per case of B avoided under the additive rule

    With U_A = 0.70 and the additive combined utility 0.50 over five years, the gain is 1.00 QALY and the cost per QALY at 20,000 pounds per case is 20,000 pounds, as in the article.

    U_A = 0.7; U_AB = 0.5; dur = 5; C_case = 20000; G = 1; CPQ = 20000
  • Gain per case of B avoided under the multiplicative rule

    The multiplicative combined utility of 0.525 gives a gain of 0.875 QALYs and a cost per QALY of about 22,857 pounds, as in the article.

    U_A = 0.7; U_AB = 0.525; dur = 5; C_case = 20000; G = 0.875; CPQ = 22857.14
  • Gain per case of B avoided under the minimum rule

    The minimum rule's 0.60 gives a gain of 0.50 QALYs and a cost per QALY of 40,000 pounds, above an illustrative threshold of 25,000 pounds that the other two rules meet, as in the article.

    U_A = 0.7; U_AB = 0.6; dur = 5; C_case = 20000; G = 0.5; CPQ = 40000

Common errors

  • Crediting the avoided condition with a return to the baseline utility

    A person who avoids B still has A, so the gain runs from the combined utility to 0.70, not to the baseline of 0.80; taking 0.80 overstates the additive gain from 1.00 to 1.50 QALYs (computed here for illustration).

Sources

  • PMG36 on documenting utility adjustments for comorbidities

    National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. NICE technology appraisal and highly specialised technologies guidance: the manual (PMG36). London: NICE; 2022, last updated 31 March 2026 (full text of chapter 4 read). Section 4.3.7: adjustments to utility values may be needed for age or comorbidities, a multiplicative approach is generally preferred, and the methods used for adjusting utility values should be clearly documented.

    View source →

Canonical Identity