Disability weight from the first person trade-off question (life extension)

Derives a weight from the number of people with a condition whose one-year life extension a respondent judges equal to extending the lives of a reference number of people without it: one minus the ratio. This GBD 1990 question (PTO1) was criticised by Arnesen and Nord for presupposing that extending a disabled person's life is worth less.

Signature

DW = 1 - N_ref / N_eq
Inputs
InputsDefinitionUnit
N_refNumber of healthy people whose one-year life extension is the reference, such as 1,000people
N_eqNumber of people with the condition whose one-year life extension the respondent judges equal to the reference, at least N_refpeople
Output
DWWeight implied by the respondent's equivalencenone

Function

Disability weight scaling of time lived with a non-fatal health state

Maps time lived in a non-fatal health state to healthy time lost by multiplying it by the state's disability weight, on a scale where 0 is equivalent to full health and 1 to death. The products give years lived with disability (YLD), which add to years of life lost to give DALYs. When people have several conditions, weights are combined multiplicatively and the combined loss is shared among the conditions. The notation follows the Disability Weight article.

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Implementations

  • Excel

    First person trade-off weight from named numbers

    With the reference group in RefPeople and the equivalent group in EquivPeople, the formula returns the weight, held in PTOOneWeight.

    =1-RefPeople/EquivPeople

Assumptions

  • Person trade-off judgements of equal claim on resources

    The respondent compares life extensions for two groups and states the size at which they have an equal claim; the weight follows from the ratio alone.

Worked examples

  • GBD 1990 example of 8,000 people with a severe disability

    If 1,000 healthy people have an equal claim to 8,000 people with a severe disability, the weight is 1 minus 1,000 / 8,000, or 0.875.

    N_ref = 1000; N_eq = 8000; DW = 0.875
  • First person trade-off disability weight from an equivalence of 1,250 people

    If 1,250 people with a condition are judged equal to 1,000 healthy people, the weight is 0.2 (computed here for illustration).

    N_ref = 1000; N_eq = 1250; DW = 0.2

Common errors

  • Forcing agreement between the two person trade-off questions

    GBD 1990 panellists revised PTO1 and PTO2 answers until they matched; Arnesen and Nord argue that forced consistency produced artefacts rather than real preferences.

Sources

  • First person trade-off weight as one minus 1,000 divided by 8,000

    Arnesen T, Nord E. The value of DALY life: problems with ethics and validity of disability adjusted life years. BMJ. 1999;319(7222):1423-1425. doi:10.1136/bmj.319.7222.1423. Section on the person trade-off: quoting the GBD summary, if 1,000 healthy people would have an equal claim on resources as 8,000 people with some severe disability, the weight is 1 minus 1,000 divided by 8,000, or 0.875; PTO1 presupposes that the lifetime of disabled people is devalued.

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Canonical Identity

Disability weight from the first person trade-off question (life extension) | HealthEconomics.wiki