Difference-in-differences estimate of a policy effect from treated and comparison groups
tau = (E[Y_1 | D = 1] - E[Y_0 | D = 1]) - (E[Y_1 | D = 0] - E[Y_0 | D = 0])
Maps outcomes observed before and after a policy in a group exposed to it and a group that is not to an estimate of the policy's average effect on the exposed: the change in the exposed group minus the change in the comparison group. Fixed differences between the groups and shocks common to both cancel. The estimate is causal only under parallel trends and no anticipation. The notation follows the Difference-in-Differences article.
Two-group two-period difference-in-differences estimate from group means
tau = (Y_T1 - Y_T0) - (Y_C1 - Y_C0)
Difference-in-differences regression with group, period and interaction terms
Y = alpha + gamma_D * D + lambda_P * P + tau * D * P
Difference-in-differences estimate adjusted for a linearly extrapolated pre-policy differential trend
tau_adj = tau - delta_pre * s_post / s_pre
Group-time average treatment effect for one adoption cohort against never-treated units
ATT_gt = (Y_g_t - Y_g_base) - (Y_n_t - Y_n_base)
Annual net cost of a policy from a difference-in-differences event rate estimate
C_net = C_prog + tau * N / 1000 * c_event