Present value of a single future value

Converts one cost or health outcome occurring at time t to its value at the reference time.

Signature

PV_t = V_t/(1+r)^t
Inputs
InputsDefinitionUnit
V_tUndiscounted cost or health outcome occurring at time tcurrency or the relevant health-outcome unit
rAnnual discount rate expressed as a decimalproportion per year
tTime between the reference point and the value, measured consistently with the rateyears
Output
PV_tValue at the reference time of the quantity occurring at time tsame as V_t

Function

Present-value discounting function

Maps future costs or health outcomes to values at a common reference time using the applicable discount rate and timing convention.

Try this function

Implementations

  • Excel

    Calculate a single present value

    Enter the rate as 3.5% or 0.035, not 3.5.

    =Value/(1+DiscountRate)^Year

Assumptions

  • Discrete annual compounding

    The formula applies annual discrete discounting; t may be fractional when the timing convention permits.

  • Consistent price and rate basis

    Real values use a real discount rate and nominal values use a nominal discount rate.

Worked examples

  • Cost occurring in year 5

    A £20,000 cost occurring five years after the reference point has a present value of approximately £16,839 at an annual discount rate of 3.5%.

    PV_5 = 20000/(1.035)^5 = 16839.46

Common errors

  • Entering a percentage as a whole number

    Entering 3.5 instead of 3.5% or 0.035 applies a 350% annual rate and severely understates present value.

Sources

  • NICE manual for single-value discounting

    NICE. Health technology evaluations: the manual. Section 4.5 Measuring and valuing health effects in economic evaluations.

    View source

Canonical Identity

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Present value of a single future value | HealthEconomics.wiki