Log odds ratio from a standardised mean difference by the logistic conversion

Re-expresses a standardised mean difference as a log odds ratio for responding by multiplying it by pi divided by the square root of 3, about 1.814, the factor Chinn derived from the logistic distribution. The odds ratio is the exponential of the log odds ratio. Combined with a comparator response probability, the odds ratio gives the intervention response probability by HE-FM-NMA-004, a quantity a decision model can use. The function exp is the exponential function.

Signature

lnOR = 1.814 * d; OR = exp(lnOR)
Inputs
InputsDefinitionUnit
dCohen's d, or a pooled standardised mean difference such as Hedges' g, with higher values favouring the interventionstandard deviation units
Output
lnORNatural logarithm of the odds ratio for responding, intervention against comparatorlog odds
OROdds ratio for responding implied by the standardised differenceratio

Function

Cohen's d standardisation and re-expression

Maps a difference between two group means on a continuous outcome to standard deviation units, so that trials which measured the same construct on different instruments can be compared and pooled, and maps a standardised difference back to a quantity a decision model can use, here a log odds ratio for responding. A confidence interval for the standardised difference is the large-sample interval HE-FM-AN-001 applied with its standard error, and a comparator response probability combined with an odds ratio gives the intervention probability by HE-FM-NMA-004; neither is restated here. Hedges' small-sample correction and its standard error belong on the Hedges' g page.

Try this function

Implementations

  • Excel

    Log odds ratio and odds ratio from a standardised difference

    With the standardised difference in a cell named SMD, the first formula returns the log odds ratio in a cell named LogOR and the second returns the odds ratio. Replacing 1.814 with PI()/SQRT(3) gives the unrounded factor.

    =1.814*SMD; =EXP(LogOR)

Assumptions

  • Logistic distribution with equal spread in both groups

    The conversion assumes that the underlying continuous outcome follows a logistic distribution with the same standard deviation in both groups. The assumption will not hold exactly, so the Cochrane Handbook treats the result as an approximation.

  • Comparator response needed for a probability

    The odds ratio alone does not give a probability. A comparator proportion of responders is needed, and the intervention probability then follows from HE-FM-NMA-004.

Worked examples

  • Article standardised effect of 0.54

    The article rounds Hedges' g to 0.54. The log odds ratio is about 0.9796, shown as 0.980 in the article, and the odds ratio is about 2.6633; the article exponentiates the rounded 0.980 and reports 2.664.

    d = 0.54; lnOR = 0.9796; OR = 2.6633
  • Lower confidence limit of the article's estimate

    Computed here for illustration: carried through the same conversion, the article's lower 95% limit of 0.021 gives a log odds ratio of about 0.0381 and an odds ratio of about 1.0388, close to no effect.

    d = 0.021; lnOR = 0.0381; OR = 1.0388
  • Upper confidence limit of the article's estimate

    The upper limit of 1.051 gives a log odds ratio of about 1.9065 and an odds ratio of about 6.7296, computed here for illustration from the article's interval.

    d = 1.051; lnOR = 1.9065; OR = 6.7296
  • No difference in means gives an odds ratio of 1

    A standardised difference of 0 converts to a log odds ratio of 0 and an odds ratio of 1, a limiting case.

    d = 0; lnOR = 0; OR = 1

Common errors

  • Exponentiating the standardised difference without the factor

    Taking the exponential of 0.54 directly gives about 1.716 instead of the odds ratio of about 2.663, computed here for illustration, so the response probability and the QALY gain are understated.

  • Reading the converted odds ratio as a relative risk

    With a comparator response of 0.30, an odds ratio of about 2.66 gives an intervention response of about 0.533, a relative risk of about 1.78, computed here for illustration. Multiplying 0.30 by the odds ratio would give about 0.80 instead.

Sources

  • Re-expressing standardised mean differences as log odds ratios

    Deeks JJ, Higgins JPT, Altman DG, McKenzie JE, Veroniki AA (editors). Chapter 10: Analysing data and undertaking meta-analyses. In: Higgins JPT, Thomas J, Chandler J, Cumpston M, Li T, Page MJ, Welch VA (editors). Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 6.5. Cochrane; 2024. Section 10.6, which states that standardised mean differences can be re-expressed as log odds ratios by multiplying by pi over the square root of 3, 1.814.

    View source →

  • Conversion from an odds ratio to an effect size

    Chinn S. A simple method for converting an odds ratio to effect size for use in meta-analysis. Statistics in Medicine. 2000;19(22):3127-3131. Abstract: a log odds ratio can be converted to an effect size by dividing by 1.81.

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  • Standardised mean difference to odds ratio and risk in interpretation

    Schünemann HJ, Vist GE, Higgins JPT, Santesso N, Deeks JJ, Glasziou P, Akl EA, Guyatt GH. Chapter 15: Interpreting results and drawing conclusions. In: Higgins JPT, Thomas J, Chandler J, Cumpston M, Li T, Page MJ, Welch VA (editors). Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions version 6.5. Cochrane; 2024. Section 15.5.3.3, which re-expresses a standardised mean difference as an odds ratio under the assumption of a logistic distribution with equal standard deviations, and warns that the result is an approximation.

    View source →

Canonical Identity

Log odds ratio from a standardised mean difference by the logistic conversion | HealthEconomics.wiki