Health capital stock carried into the next period

Grossman's equation (2-2) sets net investment, the change in the stock, equal to gross investment minus depreciation. Rearranged, the stock at the start of the next period is the current stock, less the share delta_t that depreciates during the period, plus gross investment. Holding the stock constant requires gross investment equal to delta_t × H_t.

Signature

H_(t+1) = H_t - delta_t * H_t + I_t
Inputs
InputsDefinitionUnit
H_tHealth capital at the beginning of period tunits of health capital
delta_tShare of the health stock that depreciates during period t, greater than 0 and less than 1 and rising with age after some pointproportion per period
I_tHealth capital produced during period t from medical care, own time and other inputsunits of health capital per period
Output
H_(t+1)Health capital carried into period t+1units of health capital

Function

Health capital accumulation and investment function

In the Grossman model health is a durable capital stock that produces healthy time. The stock carried into the next period is the current stock less depreciation plus gross investment, which the individual produces with medical care and own time. The optimal stock in each period equates the marginal return on health capital with its user cost, the real rate of interest plus the rate of depreciation.

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Implementations

  • Excel

    Next-period health stock

    With the current stock in HealthStock, the depreciation rate in DeprRate and gross investment in GrossInvestment, Excel returns the stock carried into the next period.

    =HealthStock-DeprRate*HealthStock+GrossInvestment

Assumptions

  • Depreciation rate exogenous but age-dependent

    In Grossman's model delta_t is given to the individual and varies with age; it is not chosen. Death occurs when the stock falls to a minimum level.

  • Health stock and investment in common units

    H_t and I_t are measured in the same units, which are analytical rather than observable. The equation describes the transition of the stock, not whether the investment is optimal.

Worked examples

  • Investment that raises the stock

    Using the article's illustrative values, a stock of 100 units with 8% depreciation and 12 units of gross investment rises to 104 units.

    H_t = 100; delta_t = 0.08; I_t = 12; H_(t+1) = 104
  • Investment below depreciation

    With only 5 units of gross investment the stock falls to 97 units, because depreciation of 8 units exceeds investment.

    H_t = 100; delta_t = 0.08; I_t = 5; H_(t+1) = 97
  • Higher depreciation later in life

    If the depreciation rate rises to 12%, the same 12 units of investment only maintain the stock at 100 units.

    H_t = 100; delta_t = 0.12; I_t = 12; H_(t+1) = 100

Common errors

  • Reading a rising stock as optimal investment

    The equation shows how the stock moves for given investment. Whether 12 units is the right investment depends on its cost and on the value of the healthy time it produces, which the optimality condition addresses.

  • Treating medical care as the health stock

    Medical care is one input to gross investment I_t, not the stock itself. Higher use of care alongside a lower stock, as when depreciation rises with age, is consistent with the model.

Sources

  • Grossman's net investment identity

    Grossman M. The human capital model of the demand for health. NBER Working Paper 7078. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research; 1999. Published as: The human capital model. In: Culyer AJ, Newhouse JP, editors. Handbook of Health Economics. Vol 1A. Amsterdam: Elsevier; 2000. p. 347-408. Equation (2-2): H_(t+1) minus H_t = I_t minus delta_t H_t, with delta_t the exogenous, age-dependent rate of depreciation (0 < delta_t < 1); equation (2-3) for the household production of gross investment from market goods and own time.

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  • Original statement of the health capital model

    Grossman M. On the concept of health capital and the demand for health. Journal of Political Economy. 1972;80(2):223-255. Health as a durable capital stock that produces healthy time; net investment equal to gross investment minus depreciation.

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Canonical Identity

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